Chow-test

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Main idea of “restriction”

A restriction is always about which coefficients we force to equal zero under the null hypothesis. It depends on the question we want to test.

  • If the question is “Does SOUTH matter?”, then the restrictions only apply to the θ’s (the coefficients that multiply SOUTH and its interactions).

  • If the question is “Does race (BLACK), gender (FEMALE), or their interaction matter?”, then the restrictions would apply to the δ’s and γ as well.

So it’s about the hypothesis, not the variable itself.

Pooled dataset in regression

  • You have a dataset with all individuals, some in the South (SOUTH=1), some not (SOUTH=0).

  • If you run one regression using everyone together, you are using the pooled dataset.

  • That model assumes that all individuals — South and non-South — share the same set of regression coefficients (same intercept, same slope, etc.), unless you explicitly include interaction terms.

Contrast with split-sample

  • In a split-sample regression, you run two regressions separately:

    • one for the SOUTH=0 group,

    • one for the SOUTH=1 group.

  • This allows each group to have its own intercept and slopes.

Chow test context

  • Pooled regression (restricted model): assumes the South and non-South share the same parameters. That gives you one .

  • Separate regressions (unrestricted model): allows parameters to differ across the two groups. That gives you two SSEs .

  • The Chow test compares these:

    • If pooling causes a much larger SSE, then the groups’ equations are not the same.

    • If pooling doesn’t increase SSE much, then pooling is valid.

Remark

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Log-linear models

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